Greater Israel: Do the Wars Lead to the Gulf and the Overthrow of the World Order?

What if the successive wars in the Middle East are not merely transient security conflicts, but steps within a larger project to reshape the entire region?

And what if the ultimate objective is not only to weaken Iran or dismantle the Arab states, but to reach a historical moment in which complete military and political domination is imposed on the Arabian Gulf, as the world’s foremost energy center?

According to this hypothesis, what has been happening for decades—from Iraq to Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, and Yemen, through to the escalation with Iran—may be part of a long trajectory aimed at exhausting the region, dismantling its armies, and plunging it into chaos and division until it becomes incapable of preventing a vast project of strategic expansion.

The Gulf: The Real Objective

In this reading, the Gulf is viewed not merely as an oil-producing region, but as “the heart of the world order.” For whoever controls oil, gas, the Strait of Hormuz, Bab al-Mandab, and the Suez Canal does not control only the Middle East, but possesses the capacity to control the entire global economy.

From this perspective, the idea of “Greater Israel” becomes not merely geographical expansion, but a project of military and political control over the world’s most important arteries of energy and trade.

How Could This Happen?

First: Exhausting the region through wars. Prolonged wars destroy states’ military infrastructure, drain the economy, spread sectarian and denominational divisions, and turn populations into exhausted societies seeking only to survive. Over time, states’ capacity to protect their sovereignty or make independent decisions collapses.

Second: Creating a comprehensive security vacuum. When major regional powers collapse or are depleted, a need emerges for a power to impose “stability.” Here, according to this conception, Israel is presented as the most organized and technologically superior military power in the region, capable of managing regional security directly or indirectly.

Third: Military and political control over the Gulf. At this stage, influence no longer consists merely of alliances or agreements, but becomes a direct military presence, security bases, control of maritime corridors, political influence within Gulf decision-making, and the management of global energy security.

The Most Dangerous Point: The Fall of the Petrodollar

Since the 1970s, the global economic order has been built on what is known as the “petrodollar”: the linking of the global oil trade to the US dollar. This system has given the United States global financial hegemony, an enormous capacity to print dollars, unprecedented economic influence, and control over the global banking system.

But according to this hypothesis, if another power becomes the one effectively controlling energy sources and their corridors, this could lead to the gradual collapse of that system.

If America loses effective control over the Gulf, the major powers—particularly China and Russia—will hasten to purchase oil in alternative currencies, establish new financial systems, reduce their dependence on the dollar, and build economic alliances outside American influence.

Over time, global demand for the dollar declines, America’s capacity to finance its debts weakens, and American economic hegemony begins to falter.

How Does This Weaken America?

The United States is powerful not only because of its military, but because the dollar is the backbone of the world order. When the dollar weakens, the cost of American debt rises, confidence in the American economy declines, Washington loses its ability to impose sanctions, and its political and military hegemony erodes.

In other words, losing the Gulf means losing America’s true source of power.

A New World Born of Chaos

According to this hypothesis, the current wars are not the ultimate objective, but a means of producing a new Middle East: exhausted, divided, militarily weak, economically dependent, and subject to a new security system. At the heart of this system stands the power that dominates the Gulf, energy, and strategic corridors.

A Historical Reading of the Hypothesis

History shows that the fall of empires does not happen suddenly, but through gradual attrition that shifts the center of power without the world initially noticing—as happened with Britain, which lost its hegemony to the United States after prolonged wars, economic crises, and the shift of the financial center to the dollar.

Today, the hypothesis is being advanced that the United States may face a similar trajectory because of wars and external attrition, rising debt, the ascent of competing powers such as China, and global dependence on the dollar.

In this context, the Gulf and energy corridors become a decisive element in the world order, because whoever controls them possesses direct influence over the global economy. According to the hypothesis, any change in control over this region—whether through influence, alliances, or the reshaping of balances of power—could lead to a reordering of the world order, and perhaps to a gradual decline in American hegemony, just as happened with Britain before, but in a slow and indirect manner.

Major transformations in history do not occur through sudden collapse, but through a gradual redistribution of power, whereby hegemony passes from one state to another through the economy, energy, and strategic influence, and not only through direct wars.

From the Coronavirus Pandemic to the Energy Pandemic

According to this reading, what happened during the coronavirus pandemic was not merely a normal public health response, but a practical model of how to manage the world through “major crises,” by creating a state of global fear that permits the imposition of unprecedented measures and the reshaping of the economy, society, and politics under the heading of “necessity.”

During the pandemic, airports were closed, global travel was disrupted, schools and universities were shut down, extensive restrictions were imposed on movement and work, digital surveillance was accelerated, and health policies were imposed collectively. The scale of these measures—according to this reading—revealed the extent to which global systems can paralyze normal life within a very short period when a “global state of emergency” is declared.

From here, the hypothesis moves toward what might be called an “energy pandemic”: the world may, in the future, enter a major energy crisis used in the same way, but this time through disruptions to oil and gas, the closure of maritime corridors, disruptions to supply chains, fuel shortages, the collapse of air traffic, disruptions to global trade, shortages of fertilizers and energy for agriculture, and rising food prices.

The world would consequently enter a period of widespread economic recession, social turmoil, the collapse of production chains, and greater dependence on centralized systems.

According to the hypothesis, the methodology appears similar: create or exploit a major crisis, then amplify fear and instability, then present ready-made centralized solutions, then impose new political and economic transformations, and then reshape global balances of power.

In this context, crises of health, energy, food, climate, and security become not merely separate events, but instruments for gradually reengineering the world order, ultimately producing a more centralized and controlled world.

Conclusion

If this hypothesis is correct, what is happening today is not merely a confrontation between Iran and Israel, but a long-term project to redraw the map of the world.

The ultimate objective is not war itself, but control over the Gulf, because control over the Gulf means control over oil, and control over oil means control of the global economy. At that point, the fall of states would not be merely a collateral consequence, but a step within a larger process that could end in the overthrow of the world order America has led since the end of the Second World War.

The most troubling question remains: Is what we are witnessing merely a regional conflict? Or is it the beginning of a historical transformation that could transfer the global center of power into the hands of whoever controls the Gulf?