Specialized automated translation · terminology and reference checks passedArabic original

The Deception of the Age

Power, Religion, and Civilization

Content languageOriginal: العربية
NarratorEnglish

Iran and Israel between declared war and planned outcomes: a reading of results rather than rhetoric.

Introduction

Among the questions that most insistently present themselves in the Middle Eastern landscape today is this: Is the war between Iran and Israel a genuine war between two adversaries, each seeking to eliminate the other, or are we witnessing a larger strategic deception whose declared objectives extend beyond the confrontation between the two sides?

On the surface, Iran and Israel appear to be in direct conflict, exchanging threats and military strikes, while the world follows the operations, statements, and political rhetoric. In this reading, however, I look not only at what Iran or Israel says, but also at what actually happens on the ground and at the outcomes this war produces.

For me, the question is not only: Who is striking whom? Rather, it is: Who is losing? Whose capabilities are diminishing? And who benefits from the outcomes?

If Iran considers Israel its principal enemy, and if the Palestinian cause figures prominently in its political discourse, why do some Iranian strikes during the escalation turn toward the Gulf states, reach civilian homes, and threaten women and children? This is where the real question begins for me: Is what we are seeing truly the war the parties proclaim, or is there a broader strategic trajectory behind it?

Iran and Israel: Declared War or Strategic Deception?

Iran presents itself as confronting Israel, declares that Israel poses a danger to the region, and presents its support for the Palestinian cause as part of its political project. Conversely, Israel presents Iran as one of the greatest sources of threat to its security and to the region. The picture thus seems clear: reciprocal aggression, declared enmity, and war between two sides.

But when we look at outcomes rather than rhetoric, a different picture emerges. The Arab region pays a substantial share of the price, while the confrontation does not necessarily translate into direct pressure on Israel to the extent one would expect from a war said to target it. Instead, we find the Gulf states and their peoples drawn into the sphere of targeting and danger, with facilities, homes, and civilian communities under threat.

Here I find myself facing a fundamental question: If the war is against Israel, why are Muslims in the Gulf paying its price? A war supposedly confronting Israel should not, by this logic, end up extending the sphere of danger to Arab states that are not parties to the occupation of Palestine.

From Palestine to the Gulf

This is the point I find most open to question. Iran has a long-standing discourse about Palestine, the liberation of Jerusalem, and confronting Israel. Yet when the confrontation reaches a broad military phase, citizens of the Gulf find themselves facing missiles, drones, and danger approaching their homes, facilities, and cities.

Here the contradiction between the declared rhetoric and the actual outcome emerges. What value is there in speaking of liberating Palestine if the result is to strike Muslims in the Gulf? And what does confronting Israel mean if the war simultaneously weakens Arab states, threatens their economies, and endangers their peoples?

From here, I raise a possibility that I do not find easy to disregard: Have the Gulf states become an alternative arena for a conflict supposedly directed primarily against Israel?

Eliminating the Sources of Strength in the Gulf

The Gulf states are not merely a group of Arab countries. They constitute one of the most important centers of economic power in the Arab world, with their oil, gas, ports, maritime routes, investments, and financial wealth. Targeting the Gulf therefore means not only targeting cities or facilities; it can also mean targeting one of the most important sources of Arab strength.

If these states are subjected to military and economic attrition, energy and maritime routes come under threat, and the region enters an arms race and a permanent state of fear and instability, the effects extend beyond immediate losses. Continuous attrition reduces states’ capacity to invest in development and build strength, increases their dependence on external protection and alliances, and affects their ability to make independent decisions.

The more important question therefore becomes: Is the targeting of the Gulf merely a side effect of the war, or does the weakening of the Gulf form part of its broader outcomes?

Who Benefits from the Outcome?

I do not base this reading on the question: Who told the truth? Rather, I base it on a question more closely tied to reality: Who benefits from the outcome? If the war leads to the depletion of Iran, the weakening of the Gulf states, threats to energy sources, disruption of the Arab economy, an intensified arms race, and the political and military weakening of Arab states, these outcomes deserve to be studied apart from official rhetoric.

More importantly, we must ask: If Israel emerges from the successive phases of the conflict still retaining its military and technological superiority, while the Arab region is depleted by continual wars, are we witnessing merely a war between two states, or a trajectory that reshapes the balance of power in the region?

The two sides may not need to be allies for the war between them to produce outcomes that intersect with shared interests or with the interests of other parties. I therefore do not say that Iran and Israel are allies. Instead, I pose a different question: Can there be shared outcomes of a war that appears, on the surface, to be a war between two enemies?

Where Is Palestine in All This?

The most painful question for me is: Where is Palestine in this equation? The Palestinian people live under occupation, and Gaza has suffered destruction, killing, and displacement, while Lebanon and Syria have endured years of regional and international conflicts.

According to the declared rhetoric of resistance to the Israeli project, any confrontation with Israel could have been an opportunity to ease the pressure on Palestinians, weaken Israeli capabilities, or impose a new reality that serves the peoples of the region. But when the confrontation turns into strikes against the Gulf states, threats to civilians, and the targeting of homes, it becomes legitimate to ask: Does this war genuinely serve Palestine, or does it open new fronts against other Arab peoples?

The Gulf states are not the ones occupying Palestine, and the peoples of the Gulf are not the ones imposing occupation on the Palestinians. Indeed, the Palestinian cause is present in the collective consciousness of Arab and Muslim peoples. Weakening the Gulf therefore ultimately means weakening an important part of the Arab world that could exert political and economic influence on the Palestinian question.

Here the paradox emerges: A war said to be against Israel may end up weakening the Arab parties supposedly closest to Palestine.

The Undeclared Outcome

From here, I arrive at the core of this reading. I do not claim to possess the final truth, nor do I say that all events are controlled by a single actor. But I raise a possibility that I consider worthy of study: Is the war between Iran and Israel, despite its military reality and hostile rhetoric, moving along a broader strategic trajectory, one of whose outcomes is the weakening of the Gulf states and the Arab world?

If the war leads to the depletion of Arab states, threats to the Gulf, disruption of energy security, economic weakening, an intensified arms race, continuing instability, continuing Israeli superiority, and continuing Palestinian suffering—then the researcher is entitled to question the nature of this trajectory and the actors that might benefit from it.

The war may be genuine in military terms, but this does not necessarily mean that its outcomes are confined to the objectives its parties declare. It is precisely here that the idea of the deception of the age emerges: People see a war between Iran and Israel, while its deeper outcome is the reshaping of the region and the weakening of its sources of strength.

The Larger Map

To understand the scene, it is not enough to look at Iran and Israel alone; we must look at the entire map: Iran, Israel, the Gulf, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Palestine, the Red Sea, the Strait of Hormuz, energy, the global economy, and international alliances.

States act according to calculations of security, influence, the economy, energy, and maritime routes, and the outcomes of wars may be far greater than their declared objectives. The question should therefore not stop at: Who launched the missile? It must extend to: What did the missile bring about? And where are its consequences leading us?

Conclusion

I offer this reading not as a truth concealed from the public, but as an open question for the researcher and the reader. The question is not only: Are Iran and Israel enemies? Their declared hostility is clear. The more important question is: Where is this war leading?

If Iran says it is confronting Israel for the sake of Palestine, why do Muslims in the Gulf find themselves under missile fire? And if the war between Iran and Israel simultaneously leads to the depletion of Iran, threats to the Gulf, the weakening of the Arab world, and continuing Israeli superiority, we are entitled to ask: Are these merely unintended outcomes, or is there a broader strategic trajectory?

Herein lies the deception of the age: People become preoccupied with who is striking whom, while failing to ask: Who is losing? Who benefits? And where is the final outcome leading us?

Perhaps the most dangerous wars are not those we see on news screens, but those whose true objectives we understand only after they have ended. The question therefore remains open: Is the war between Iran and Israel a genuine war aimed at eliminating the adversary, or is it part of a larger strategic deception whose outcomes include the elimination of the Gulf’s sources of strength and the weakening of the Arab world, while Palestine remains the greatest loser?